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Bayes's Theorem

Online ISBN:
9780191734175
Print ISBN:
9780197263419
Publisher:
British Academy
Book

Bayes's Theorem

Richard Swinburne (ed.)
Richard Swinburne
(ed.)
Emeritus Nolloth Professor of the Philosophy of the Christian Religion, Oxford; Fellow of the British Academy
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Published:
12 May 2005
Online ISBN:
9780191734175
Print ISBN:
9780197263419
Publisher:
British Academy

Abstract

Bayes' theorem is a tool for assessing how probable evidence makes some hypothesis. The papers in this book consider the worth and applicability of the theorem. The book sets out the philosophical issues: Elliott Sober argues that there are other criteria for assessing hypotheses; Colin Howson, Philip Dawid, and John Earman consider how the theorem can be used in statistical science, in weighing evidence in criminal trials, and in assessing evidence for the occurrence of miracles; and David Miller argues for the worth of the probability calculus as a tool for measuring propensities in nature rather than the strength of evidence. The book ends with the original paper containing the theorem, presented to the Royal Society in 1763.

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