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Bayes's Theorem$
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Richard Swinburne

Print publication date: 2005

Print ISBN-13: 9780197263419

Published to British Academy Scholarship Online: January 2012

DOI: 10.5871/bacad/9780197263419.001.0001

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Bayes’s Theorem and Weighing Evidence by Juries

Bayes’s Theorem and Weighing Evidence by Juries

(p.70) (p.71) 4 Bayes’s Theorem and Weighing Evidence by Juries
Bayes's Theorem

A. P. Dawid

British Academy

This chapter discusses Bayes's theorem and the weighing of evidence by the juries. It first examines statistics and the law, before moving on to testing between two hypotheses in court. Identification evidence and databases and search are examined as well. The chapter concludes with a brief discussion of some problems of legal reasoning that have been greatly clarified by examining them from a Bayesian perspective.

Keywords:   Bayes' theorem, weighing of evidence, statistics, identification evidence, databases, legal reasoning, Bayesian perspective

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