Propensities May Satisfy Bayes’s Theorem
Propensities May Satisfy Bayes’s Theorem
This chapter discusses the question of whether the propensity interpretation of probability is a genuine interpretation of the calculus of probability. One of the main points of interest can be found in the difficulty of understanding the term P(A\C), when the occurrence A is temporally or causally anterior to the occurrence C. The chapter is able to determine that an intelligible interpretation of the calculus of probability as a calculus of propensities exists. Although it is not obviously a correct interpretation, it is a factual matter whether propensities obey the calculus of probability.
Keywords: interpretation of probability, calculus of probability, calculus of propensities, interpretation, propensities
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