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Evidence, Inference and Enquiry$
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Evidence, Inference and Enquiry

Philip Dawid, William Twining, and Mimi Vasilaki

Print publication date: 2011

Print ISBN-13: 9780197264843

Published to British Academy Scholarship Online: January 2013

DOI: 10.5871/bacad/9780197264843.001.0001

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Reasonable Doubt: Uncertainty in Education, Science and Law

Reasonable Doubt: Uncertainty in Education, Science and Law

Chapter:
(p.465) 17 Reasonable Doubt: Uncertainty in Education, Science and Law
Source:
Evidence, Inference and Enquiry
Author(s):

TONY GARDNER-MEDWIN

Publisher:
British Academy
DOI:10.5871/bacad/9780197264843.003.0017

This chapter champions the elicitation and use of probabilistic measures of uncertainty. It compares two different views (roughly corresponding, respectively, to the Bayesian and frequentist approaches to statistical inference) as to how probabilities should be used as evidence. It argues that, while the former may be a logical ideal, the latter may be more appropriate in the special circumstances of the courtroom.

Keywords:   uncertainty, education, probabilities, evidence, statistical inference

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